Now that the storm is picking up speed and gaining better guidance, we should start getting a good feel on where Gustav is going very soon.
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Now that the storm is picking up speed and gaining better guidance, we should start getting a good feel on where Gustav is going very soon.
What are you guys being told on the radio/news. Out here everyone assumes it's headed straight for NO, but every time I see a new trend ... Gustav looks to be moving west.
So far the local stations are still talking in terms of the storm going to our west somewhere along the NHC track, but of course there's a possibility for the storm to come to NOLA. But no assumption that it's comming here.
Just have to keep an eye on things and they're urging people to play it safe and leave, rather than stay and be sorry.
Look at it this way, FEMA is here, they never are in the place the storm hits.
We will know if we are in trouble if Mike Seidel from the weather channel shows up. They always send that guy into the worst places.
The track seems to have shifted back to the east a bit. Looking more like Terrebone again, but it's just too early to pick a path. I am listening to WWL online.
Time for some football!!!
I have not seen Al Roker yet, a good sign too?Originally Posted by DenatureX
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WBv7JAoisn0
Actually, the 5 o'clock track shifted westward. Earlier it was comming in right around Terrebonne Bay, now it's skirting the coast into the Atchafalaya basin.Originally Posted by West Coast Hornet
Thanks for the clarification. When I turned in last night, a lot of models had this tracking west anywhere from Lafayette to the TX state line, then it looked like those models pulled back from that, but I did hear Arredondo say exactly what you just said.Originally Posted by say-what
Take care all and God Bless. Turn your water mains off if you leave.
looking more organized now, Please God keep moving west. Dump S.A. for trying to steal our football team yet again!
Amen
Looks like it's going straight for the loop current now. Gonna blow up into a monster. Still no idea when or where it will hit. Best thing now is to just wait and see.
Carl Arredondo, among others I imagine, all predict that the storm is almost certain to make landfall in La. It's only a question of what part of the state, but most seem to be betting somewhere between SELA and SWLA, with SCLA being the most likely. Arredondo thought that a Cat 3 storm would bring surge from 9-12' into Barataria Bay. LP would also take water that would push into Lake Maurepas. A straight southern surge might be better for the city, but not good for the Westbank. Prayers.
Nothing quoted below is meant to mean we're in the clear, just that if current trends continue, things will be looking better. Still best to leave and be safe, than stay and be sorry.
2 former NOLA weathermenOriginally Posted by jgumm: 8/29 @ 9:03pmOriginally Posted by wxbrad: 8/29 @ 9:13pm
10pm 5-day track has shifted ever so slightly to the west again.
Bob Breck has been swearing by this for the past three days. If Breck ends up being right I think we need a Hornetsreport collection to get him a better hair piece. Even when they shift it back to the east he keeps on about it going more west.
MJR
I really don't believe this is going to impact us in a major way. Staying home this time around.
Just when you think that it might go to the west, here we go again. The storm is clearly moving east of the isle of youth. We'll see what the NHC will say at the 10 AM advisory. My own educated guess is that the track will be more east, possibly going directly over the Baton Rouge area. We'll see.
shifted west again, but we're still right there in that cone of error...
Bob Breck and Carl Arrendondo are NO legends. I trust their words.....
Dell Demps PLEASE get us some scorers!
Be sure to bring your loose items in the yard inside! This includes BBQ-Grill, Lawn chairs,garden hoses and garbage cans. Also check your storm drains before you leave.
Hang in there!
I disagree.Originally Posted by Alg_Hornet
Signed,
Nash Roberts and his rubber tipped stick pointer
This is growing into a mega monster. NHC says it could be a Cat. 5 before it hits Cuba!
The current projected path has a powerful Cat. 5 with winds gusting to 195 mph staring down the LA coast early monday morning (early means like midnight). On the satellite images, you can clearly see that it's passed east of the Isle of Youth, which is not what the NHC path nor any of the computer models expected. The Isle of Youth just got clipped by the western eye wall, where there are 170 mph wind gusts. The destruction there will be incredible, I'm sure. I am almost certain that the NHC will shift its track to the right, which would not put New Orleans in the eyewall, but on a terrible side of the storm. We could possibly even see the eyewall clip Kenner, which is unlikely, but certainly possible. If you have decided to stay, I would seriously reconsider your decision. It is not worth risking your life. It is now clear that the metro area is going to face serious effects due to Gustav. I STRONGLY suggest that you plan on evacuating.
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