Originally Posted by
Pelicanidae
I think we can be a 50 win team, assuming good injury luck. Of course everything changes if Zion or Ingram or CJ (or some combination of the 3) go down for significant games. But if everything goes well in terms of injury luck, I think estimating us to win anywhere in the range of about 47-52 games makes a lot of sense. It seems a bit weird to me to predict the Clippers becoming 20+ games better (which is what it would take for them to be #1 seed) because of a returning Kawhi off a traumatic injury and another 40 games of PG, but not assuming the Pelicans could be even 10 games better with a full season of Zion off a smaller injury, 50+ extra games of CJ, and 30 extra games of Ingram.
The jump from 36 wins to 46 wins is, I think, an easier jump to make than the leap from 42 wins to 62 wins, for probably obvious reasons, and I think we're more likely to jump 10 games than the Clippers are to jump 20.