Originally Posted by
MichaelMcNamara
First off, no I do not believe that the Pelicans will have a second round pick on the roster this year. Just too many spots taken already, plus an 8th overall pick will be added to an already pretty young roster. Monty used to talk a lot about this, but there is coaching and teaching, and you can only teach so many guys at a time. That said, the Pels have two second round picks currently, and they did just see how beneficial hitting on the right second round pick can be with Herb. Personally, I have a spotty track record with identifying the best first round picks, but I used to write a piece on BSS every year about my second round sleepers and I crushed that. Why? Because they are super easy to identify when you look historically. Almost all of them are upperclassman or foreign, and they all usually have high IQ but lack one trait that limits their perceived upside (usually a non ideal body type, or athletic markers, or shooting)
So, with that in mind, here are the most likely candidates for guys who will be drafted in the second round but will vastly outperform their draft position:
1. Andrew Nembhard, PG, Gonzaga - Could easily become this years Jalen Brunson. Lacks the burst, so will drop to the 2nd despite fantastic college career.
2. Jake LaRavia, Forward, Wake Forest - Might be moving into the late 1st, but will be a solid 3/4 who wont be drafted high because he lacks top tier athleticism. Has high IQ, though
3. Trevion Williams, Big, Purdue - Classic undersized big, in the mold of Xavier Tillman. Can see his IQ through his passing and defensive rotations
4. David Roddy, Big, Colorado State - He keeps falling in mocks but I think that is because people are thinking about his vulnerabilities as a starter. Roddy is an ideal bench big in the mold of DeJuan Blair or Malik Rose. Weird body, but that doesnt matter as much on a 2nd unit. Probably my personal favorite if Pels do keep pick.
5. Ron Harper, Jr, Wing, Rutgets - Long wing who can hit from deep, has NBA pedigree, and high IQ. Honestly, a little surprised he isnt mocked higher. The kind of guy you take a chance on, develop, and becomes your Dorien Finney-Smith
I would love if the Pels used their two-ways this year on guys they take in the second round. For me, Roddy and Harper, Jr would be the ideal, realistic picks for where they are in the second round.