Originally Posted by
MichaelMcNamara
Zion not making All NBA this year kind of matters, but might not. Let me explain.
Next summer, we go to offer him an extension. If he made ALL NBA this year and next, it would GUARANTEE to start off at 30% in 2023-24 - a MASSIVE advantage for the Pels because no team could start him off higher than 25% of the cap. But, because he didnt make All NBA this year, we cant hand him a deal next offseason and guarantee he will start at 30% in 2023-24. It will actually all come down to that 2022-23 season. If he makes All NBA that year, he would get the 30%, if not he would get 25%. Really doesnt even matter what he does next year. Because you either gotta make it the 4th year OR 2 out of three years (year 2, 3, and 4) to get the 30%. Again, long story short, now all that matters is the 2022-23 season because he didnt make it this year. Now, lets look at how the 3 options look for Zion when it comes to signing next summer.
Signs QO and then signs 4 Year Deal with Someone Else:
23-24:17.6
24-25: 31.2
25-26: 32.6
26-27: 34.07
27-28: 35.60
Total: 151.07 million
Signs New Extension, Starting at 25% because he didnt make All NBA in 2022/23
23-24:: 29.8
24-25: 32.04
25-26: 34.44
26-27: 37.02
27-28: 39.8
Total: 173.1 million
Signs New Extension, Starting at 30%, Because he made All NBA in 2022-23
23-24: 35.88
24-25: 38.57
25-26: 41.46
26-27: 44.57
27-28: 47.92
Total: 208.4 million
So, as you see, it is only a small advantage if all we can offer him is the 25%. 22 million over 5 years, which he easily could make up in other markets. BUT if we can give him the 30%, that is nearly a 60 million dollar difference over the 5 years. Cant turn that down, but the issue is that - because of today - we cant GUARANTEE him that he will get the 30% next offseason, where we could have if he made All NBA this season and next.
Willing to take any questions, but I wanted to put this here because I guarantee it comes up 500x over the next year or so and I want people to have the right information.