Originally Posted by

**Blattman**
Actually it's 26,3% of getting a top 4 pick. The request is "at least one pick is in the top 4", so in the case you have to add all percentage for 1 to 4 slots and subtract the combination odds (here's 0 since there's only one pick). If you want an example, let's say you face 4 doors, two open on stairs, one on a flat room and the last lead to a hole. If you randomly pick the doors, there's 50% odds to end in a stairs, 25% odds to end in the flat room and 25% odds to end in a hole. Now if the request is "to not pick a door leading to an hole", you have 3 chances out of 4, so 50%+25%=75% odds. Hope it help clarifies.

Speaking of odds, let's say the Knicks end up winning the lottery and offer Mitchell Robinson + the number one pick for Zion ( they need that star power and Thibodeaux doesn't like rookies), would you consider it ? If not, what additionnal assets would you need ?