There are VERY few guys who get to that level that don?t show it in their first contract. Conley is an outlier that comes to mind. But very few others. Anfernee Simons seems to be a very late bloomer. But even the super young when drafted guys will show you by the end of year 3 that they will get to that level.
Jaxson Hayes won?t get there. Ever. Our fandom wants him to get there but he won?t. It was worth a swing but he won?t be on this team into his 2nd deal and we won?t live to regret it