Originally Posted by
MichaelMcNamara
Talked to someone in finance department and, on average, teams walk away with 2-3 million in profit per playoff home game. Thats after expenses and profit sharing, etc. On top of that, teams often experience a boost of 1-2k in season ticket sales/renewals by being able to offer playoff seats to people who get season tickets for next year.
So, I think we can estimate 5-6 million in additional revenue. On top of that, they get their 2022 and 2024 2nds back. The 2022 is #41. Lets put the 2024 one in the 50s. We know they will sell these or trade these for future 2nds, as they have no roster spots. Based on past history, you can estimate a total of 2-3 mil from the sale of those picks.
So..... on one side you lose and have the Bucks 2025 pick. On the other, a win and 7-8 million in profit, which I know fans dont care about but they do if that profit makes an owner more likely to eventually pay the lux tax or eat the salary on a bad decision (SVG last year, Temple this year as a waive and stretch?)
What will be the swing factor is two things: One, does the 11th slot (now New York) jump up on May 17th? Two, where does the 2025 Milwaukee pick fall?
If the 11th slot doesnt move up and the Milwaukee pick falls in the 20s, then I think you can say without a doubt that the win yesterday was worth it, even if (when) the Pels get smashed by Phoenix. If that 11th slot moves up into the top 4, it was a bad win. If the 11th slot doesnt move up and the Milwaukee pick finishes 6th, it was a bad win. But both those things are low probability.
Personally, I would have liked it a lot more if they beat a real team in these play ins. They basically played two 30-ish win teams (the PG, Kennard, and Kawhi-less Clippers are a 30-ish win team. Sorry, but true). That said, the WAY they won last night was awesome and BI getting to feel the playoffs will be valuable for him. Trey getting the minutes in a must win game and shining will be awesome for him. Overall, better to have made the playoffs I think.....but we will know for sure May 17th.