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In almost every relative metric Teague has been the superior player recently. Higher AST%, better Net Rating, higher TS%, higher REB%, equal opposition FG%. The one argument you have is upside, which gets back to the core Gentry flaw in his contracts, like with Gordon, like Ajinca, like Asik, like Evans; paying for guys based on what you hope they can elevate their game and do in the future, not what they have actually done in the present. But that is not convincing to me, especially given Demps track record and what little growth I have seen from Jrue over his career.
Jrue is 27. He is not a fiery competitor or someone that has shown the capacity to add drastic new wrinkles to his game over the years. Odds are what you see now is what you get the next 3 years followed by a slow decline subsequently as he gets into his 30's. Likely Finch and some better shooters can trend his numbers up a little bit and maybe a cultural shift with Boogie and wanting playoffs will add a bit more consistency. But that is about the extent I will go. Shorter years and lower money is about the only case I can convince myself that Jrue's contract would not be an overpay. At best you have made the case Jrue is slightly, marginally better then Teague, that does not constitute 6 million more dollars and 2 extra years.
Nope, I am not making an argument based on potential. I'm making an argument based on past performance for projecting who is the better player. Jrue is better than Teague.