Originally Posted by
Mythrol
I feel like you're mixing positives with negatives. For example if KD or Kyrie say they are 100% going to New York that makes them more desperate to get AD which increases our offer.
If KD says it, I THINK Boston and The Knicks both go as hard as possible to get AD.
If you agree that AD probably gets traded in June then I think knowing where Kyrie goes after that is irrelevant. You're also assuming Kyrie hasn't already given Boston a commitment behind closed doors.
As far as AD and his camp goes, I don't think anyone involved cares. They all knows its just posturing. If AD knows he'd have to be a rental and waste a year before joining Lebron does his stance stay the same? No I doubt it.
The Knicks pick we won't know exact odds until the end of the season so that 60% could change and if we trade AD to them now we Guarantee! the pick will have worse odds. Combine this with not being able to get DSJ and I think there's plenty of risk of taking a worse deal now.
Would I still be willing to do it? That depends. *IF* Boston swore they'd give me EVERYTHING in the summer, I think Tatum, Brown, Smart, plus 4 1st round picks is probably better and I'd take that.
Let's take the middle ground and say the Knicks pick hits No. 3 if we trade AD there at the deadline. Is Knox, Frank, the Knicks pick, both Dallas picks, and another Knicks pick better than what Boston guarantees us? I'd probably say no.
Would I be upset? No.
But the risk to me is worth it because I don't believe the worst case scenario has very high odds of happening at all. Your scenario involves assuming the worst case scenario breaks against us in multiple instances to even run the Possibility of us getting a less offer. I don't think you can run a NBA team by being afraid.