I need a N-Med scan because I think you gave me cancer with that trade.
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Randle has one year left and I do not want him on this team, so in my mind it's unlikely that he would be resigned. Gibson is a good leader but he's also 35 and clearly on the decline. Neither of those pieces would be on the team beyond the very short term future and neither of them are particularly valuable.
So you're trading Jrue+13 for, essentially, the #2 pick in a bad draft and a top 3 protected future pick.
Awful trade.
Draymond Green does not seem to have much left and could see him being a malcontent having to go from Warriors to Pelicans. Not sure I would make that trade.
Jamal Murray just had an incredible playoff run. Don't let that fool you into thinking that those things were not true when they were written.
I issue one correction. Jamal Murray has had one season where he was above league average in efficiency, his sophomore year.
League Average TS% each year of his career: 55.2%, 55.6%, 56%, 56.5%
Jamal Murray's TS% each year of his career: 51.8%, 57.8%, 53.9%, 55.8%
What else is incorrect? That he's a poor defender? That's true, and is backed by both the eye test and the statistics (he's got a -0.7 DPIPM, for example, has never posted a positive net rating, has had a negative DBPM every year of his career, etc).
As for my point about him not being consistent, that's just basic truth about him.
The reason the Pels might do this trade is that you're betting on a mediocre player (not bad) who has shown signs of having something special. You might lose that bet, but if you think the upside is there (which this playoff run demonstrated it might be) then it's fair to take a swing.
In any case, it's a bit weird to reply to this 6 weeks after the initial post, after Murray's playoffs explosion changes the evaluation a bit.
George Karl: "There is talk of Jrue Holiday landing with the Clippers, Pacers and other contenders. But I told @Adam_Mares recently the Nuggets want this guy next to Jamal Murray! Even if they need to be bold and throw a MPJ into a trade to make it happen!!" 6 hours ago ? via Twitter CoachKarl22
George Karl coached there for nine years not so ago. I'm sure he still has some contacts and insight into the organization. MPJ would be a nice pick up for Holiday and don't forget, until we hear otherwise, Wes Unseld Jr, a current Nugget coach is still under consideration for the Pelican job. I know the two stories are unrelated, but it makes for interesting thought.
Oh wow, even if they were bold and threw in MPJ!
Alongside what other assets? Cause MPJ himself isn't getting the job done. Regardless of his offensive abilities his health is still an enormous issue, his mentality is very blatantly not good, his defensive projection is still poor at least partly due to the health issue, etc. He alone isn't worth a Jrue trade.
So what else? Obviously no Jokic or Murray at this point. Harris? Nah, sorry.
I've seen MJP favorably compared to Joe Johnson (All Star), Gordon Haywood (All Star), Danilo Gallinari (16.2 for career / over 10 Year career), and even, Kevin Durant (Top Three Player of our Time). All have had injury problems during their careers.
Now, unless we are assured that Holiday will not opt out next summer, MJP and Harris would be a duo I would be all over (and they fit the time line)
None of them had multiple back surgeries before they were even in the NBA, and none of them come from a family of notably-injury-prone individuals. MPJs brother has wrecked legs and both of his sisters retired from all sports due to continuous injury issues.
In any case, the fact that you've seen him favourably compared to people who are so massively different in quality and play-style as KD, Joe Johnson, and Gallinari should be sparking some questions in your head, not just automatic acceptance. If you're seeing him compared variously to all-time great primary offensive weapon KD and also really good roleplayer and good third option who cannot be the focal point of any offense like Gallinari, maybe that's a sign that people don't generally have a solid consensus view on him outside of ''good at offense'', which I already noted myself, rather than that he's a guaranteed star in the making.
If I may ask you...what exactly is Jrue Holiday? We all know about his abilities defensively, but who would you compare him too (current /past)? Is he much more than a third option offensively, if that (never mind how NO has used him)? Absent an extension, is one year of 30 year old Holiday worth more than the gamble on a 22 year old, once regarded as the top prospect in his draft and a fine rotational player, in Gary Harris?
If i were in denver's spot i would be hesitant to trade for a 1 year rental for jrue.... if jrue would accept an extension then that would drive his value up, if he doesn't commit then thats a big risk doing that trade and not sure if he would make them a contender for them to pull that trigger
I don't need to compare Jrue to anyone. The reason you make comparisons is either to project a younger player out into future potential, or to describe their playstyle when someone else hasn't seen them.
Jrue is a 10 year vet with over 700 NBA games under his belt, and I know you've seen him play. So I don't need to give a comparison: you wanna know what Jrue is like as a player? Go watch him again.
As for the rest I've been over my view on MPJ and Gary Harris in this thread and others a hundred times. Not going to reiterate it. Suffice it to say, it's contextually dependent.
What about sending Jrue to GSW?
GSW receive: Jrue Holiday and Darius Miller and a future 2022 1st rounder.
PELS receive: Andrew Wiggins, Marquese Chriss and the 2nd pick of the draft.
Draft Lamelo Ball and with the 13th pick get Vernon Carey the center from Duke.
lineup:
PG: Lonzo Ball, Lamelo Ball
SG: Ingram, Reddick, NAW
SF: Wiggins, Hart
PF: Zion, Melli
C: Hayes, Chriss, Carey
You could also try Lamelo at pg and Lonzo at SG
What do y?all think?
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Absolutely not.
Firstly, Lamelo is generally predicted to go #1, so if you're trading up to #2 with the hopes of getting Lamelo you have to recognise that that is far from a likely outcome. Secondly, I wouldn't be drafting Lamelo top 3 anyway, I don't rate his top end outcomes highly enough and I think his bust potential is higher than many are willing to admit. Not saying he could never be a star, he does have some ridiculous outlier skills, but I don't rate it probable enough to justify this trade or drafting him at that spot.
Next up, Wiggins sucks.
In this situation, we're moving the best player and the best pick (2022 is looking to be a pretty good draft whereas this one is notably poor, therefore acquiring higher picks in it is not a great value play in general) and getting nothing of even close to fair value in return.
And Vernon Carey isn't a first round pick.
Would you move Jrue to NETS for Spencer Dinwiddie and Jarret Allen?
Or Jrue, Miller, and Okafor and 2023 1st to GSW for Draymond Green? They probably wouldn?t do that though.
Or Jrue, Melli, and Miller to Denver for Barton, MPG and Denver?s 2020 1st round pick?
Or Jrue to Clippers for Paul George?
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Probably not honestly.
1) Dinwiddie is basically Jrue's age and is due a huge payday.
2) Draymond is older than Jrue I think, and is also on a big contract, and also why would I add a first?
3) Will Barton is good but not that good, my feelings on MPJ are detailed in this thread, Denver's picks are very late.
4) Don't trust PG13 as far as I can throw him. Playoff P.
I feel like if I'm trading Jrue, I want someone back that I can imagine actually being on the roster in a few years and who is a solid player. I'm not particularly looking for a big because we have Jax, and while Zion isn't a ''big'' he plays the PF position anyway. My preference would be for a guard because we're losing Jrue and he's our only guy who can actually run offense in the half-court, although a pick or two can loosen that requirement somewhat because then you can try and draft a guard.
This is, of course, assuming that we move Jrue which I don't think is necessarily something we should do anyway.
Absolutely zero interest in Oladipo.
Again, not much younger than Jrue, but also has been awful for several years. The reason for this is largely that his body has been periodically exploding over the last few seasons. He's barely played and when he has he's looked bad.
I'm not betting that he returns to a high level, and even if he does, do I want him to be taking 18 shots a game and being the primary ballhandler on this team? No I don't. I'm not looking to acquire a first or second option that is going to stunt Zion's development by taking all the ball-handling reps.
Buddy Hield wants out of Sac...
https://sports.yahoo.com/sacramento-...005134015.html
27yrs old, 19.2 pts/game, 4.6 reb, 3 asst, .394 from three on 9.6 attempts per game...
Buddy is an incredible, all time level shooter.
That is literally all he is. Mediocre passer, poor defender, does really get to the basket at all, doesn't really have a developed in between game, doesn't really playmake for others, doesn't get to the line.
He's a good roleplayer, and his shooting really is elite and very valuable. It's not $24m next year valuable.
This trade idea is a modification of several shown on web. Would you do it? If not, what then?
Heat gets: JRUE HOLIDAY
Pelicans get: DUNCAN ROBINSON, KENDRICK NUNN, KELLY OLYNYK, and MIA's 2020 first round pick.
I dont think Griff does that one, but I would if we can send Nunn off for something of value. Like, can I send he and JJ to Milwaukee for Bledsoe?
Lonzo-Bledsoe-Ingram-Zion-Olynyk
Hart, Melli and Robinson as main bench guys. Still got my MLE. Hope a young guy or two can be solid rotation guy (between Frank, NAW, and Hayes). Got picks 13, 20, 39, 42, and 60 to move around with. Can be competitive this year. Have lots of expirings and/or deals with 2 years left if right guy comes available.
I would do that deal. If you trade Jrue, you are trading JJ
Are we going to re-sign Favors? What do we do with Okafor, Frank Jackson, Moore, Kenny, ???
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I say we get the right coach for Ball, Ingram and Zion. Focus heavily on Ball attacking the basket. No more finesse bs. Get angry and attack the basket. Lonzo is very athletic. He needs to eat more and put on 10-15 lbs of muscle. He really should weigh 210. If he could put on more muscle I think he could go to the basket without fear. If he solves that one problem he could be a perennial All Star. Improve FT shooting to 70 percent and ATTACK the rim so we can run the pnr in half court. If Lonzo can?t improve a lot in this area we need to move him. His improvement will change this team so much.
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You make it sound so easy, but when you break it down it's astounding how significant those changes actually are.
1) Put on quite a lot of good quality muscle.
2) Improve at essentially all half-court offense, from driving to general pick and roll skills
3) Improve FT shooting by 20% or more
Like, that's a lot. That's something that makes you look at an 18 year old entering the draft with some side-eyes.
Unfortunately with Lonzo, as I have posted a few times, his issues are primarily mental. Talent can override this if you are a specialist or role-player, but not the starting PG/floor general. If management is smart, they will see this as well, and hopefully get value for him before the rest of the league takes too much notice.