No one should expect much from Rivers in the first couple of seasons. He's raw, especially at the point. Year 3 will forecast what kind of player he will be long-term. I'm not gonna label him a bust from what he does in the first two seasons.
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No one should expect much from Rivers in the first couple of seasons. He's raw, especially at the point. Year 3 will forecast what kind of player he will be long-term. I'm not gonna label him a bust from what he does in the first two seasons.
Emeka Okafor - Joe Smith - Carmelo Anthony - Manu Ginobili - Jason Williams
Al Jefferson - James Posey - Aaron McKie - Shaun Livingston
I don't think this is a good comparison at all. John Wall was considered the best player in an incredibly weak draft. Anthony Davis was considered one of the top 3 or 4 prospects over about 15 years of drafts.
John Wall's draft class was horrific and if it was re-done today, he would probably still go number 1. Besides, it's not like he's been terrible. He's a 16 pt 8 ast player on a terrible team. But it's not like he was considered a slam dunk.
^ Eh, I believe Demarcus was viewed as having better potential, but there were too many character/drive issues surrounding him during the draft. They definitely believed he had as much talent as Wall.
Wow! I didn't know you can tell what a player can be in 5 or 4 pre-season games. It's kinda hard for inexperience SG transfering into a PG was great that season. Nobody is saying this rough diamond would be a beauty. It will take time, this guy have talent that plenty don't. More than Lillard IMO, he is just a solid PG. Most importantly he is a hard worker.
If I had to guess he's probably under 24 which might explain why he thinks you can figure out how a rookies career will go based on a few preseason games. There are plenty of people under 24 that know how long it takes for most rookies to develop, but he's not one of them.
Looking back on my post I shouldn't have said "...the guy hasn't even gotten midway through his professional career...". Forget about career. He hasn't even gotten midway through his first professional SEASON.
I wasn't looking for a 1 to 1 comparison just the fact that highly touted prospects don't always turn into stars.
Contrary to what some people here are assuming I never said Davis would be a bad player and most certainly not a bust. He's just not a franchise once in a generation player.
Sometimes it takes a long time for a player to develop, but I have been around long enough to know usually you can see the flashes of what that player is going to be like in preseason. I just watched the Washington game and Beal looks like he is going to become a flat out star. He is making practically every shot, and even the ones he is missing look like they are going to go in. The guy has perfect form. Plus the guy is making all sorts of great little plays. He reminds me a bit of Wade actually. I would rather see him miss than most of his teammates make it. If you can't tell he is leagues beyond most of his teammates, I'm not sure you know how to watch basketball. And yeah I can tell AD is going to be a star too. You don't have to watch 100 games to realize this. You can just use your eyes and your mind and connect the dots. It is pretty obvious to any knowledgable NBA fan, haters excluded.
But with Rivers I'm not seeing many if any flashes even. If his last name wasn't Rivers, would there be all this hoopla about him? Honestly?
I've seen four rookies I think are going to be stars in this league: AD, Drummond, Lillard and Beal. Not sure about the rest. I have to put Rivers in the "Aminu" category at this point. He's clearly going to be a long term project. His ceiling might be Kevin Martin at this point. Maybe better I hope. He's just not impressing me. What can I say? Do you think scouts are not allowed to evaluate players after just one game? Hell yeah they are. That's not to say the player might improve or that the scout's evaluation would change over time. But it is fair to make an assessment on a player based on his current play. You should be able to see that player's standout qualities even if he isn't polished right away - at least some glimmer of it. If you don't see at least one standout quality, what you have on your hands is probably a mediocre player. With Drummond you can see he is going to be a beast who is going to wreck havoc against smaller, weaker players. With Beal, it is obvious he is going to shoot lights out. With AD, it's obvious he's going to be a defensive monster and even his offensive game looks very promising. Westbrook couldn't shoot the first couple years, but everyone could see his amazing quickness and athleticism. What is that "it" factor you are seeing in Rivers to give you hope? Please enlighten me because I haven't seen it yet. He has that one quick step, but that makes him like a poor man's Jamal Crawford if that's all he's got.
Anyway, you can insult me all you want as some of you have been doing in this thread. That's fine. I have thick skin. But do me a favor and if the guy doesn't improve over whatever time frame YOU deem necessary to make your determination of him, then be sure to dig up this thread and give me the credit I am due.
I'm actually sorry I can't tell you what you want to hear. I wish he would blow me away. I wish I could see that spark in him. But I don't.
Last edited by sfernald; 10-15-2012 at 10:41 PM.
Beal will be the best guard in this draft. I think Lamb will be the second best. He's a better SG than Rivers easily, offensively and defensively. But Rivers was drafted to play the point and to provide scoring off the dribble. None of the guys drafted after Rivers would be starting on the Hornets long-term over Davis, Anderson, and Gordon.
I'd rather have Smith playing center.
Yeah, I agree. I just feel like we lost out on Sacre. He was our guy. We were going to snag him as an undrafted and then the lakers go and pick with the like the last pick, and now because of the Hill injury and his great play it looks like he is going to stick. It just gets under my skin that the lakers got him.
"I don't know if people know — I dislocated my pinkie finger. And [Tyreke] told me, 'You wanna go home or you wanna be here?' I want to be here. And he said, 'All right, then go tape it up and let's play. Let's go. We not stoppin' at no stores. Straight gas. That's what we do, just keep going.'"
http://thebasketbawlblog.com/
I think the odd thing here is no one is disputing sfernald's claim that Rivers hasn't shown any flashes of potential. He's shown his speed, his dribble moves, and his ability to get in front of his man and create turnovers. I think anyone who hasn't seen potential in Rivers' play yet simply doesn't want to see it.
Rivers was drafted as a project, we didn't draft him to compete for a starting role or to even impress the coaches this year. You can't judge him now, or within the next year or two. Lillard on the other hand is already 22 years old, heck he is a couple months older than Chief, and is only a year and a half younger than Eric Gordon who's already going into his 5th year in the league. Lillard is going to be a better player than Rivers, probably for a few years.
I could tell you that his "scouting report" is totally wrong after just a few preseason games.7. Anthony Davis- The best shot blocker I've ever seen in college. His motor, IQ, and team 1st attitude will be a breathe of fresh air for any coaching staff. Has a fairly consistent mid range jumper. Will be one of those player you have to keep in eye out for when driving to the basket. Limited on offensive. He struggle if he his to put the ball on the floor more than once, has no real post moves, and is often pushed around by college level bodies. I see a ceiling of Tyson Chandler. Needs to add muscle, and develop so form of post game.
Current NBA comparison- Tyrus Thomas
It's not about insulting you, but go back and read your post that started this thread. It was a classic knee jerk reaction to a few preseason games. How do you expect people to respond? Rivers was drafted as a project at PG yet you already have given up on him before he has even played a single regular season game. Whether you like Rivers or hate him, do you realize how irrational that sounds?
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