Predict what you think our core 6 stats will be:
AD - 22ppg 11rpg 3bpg
Jrue - 16ppg 9apg 4rpg
Tyreke - 18ppg 5apg 5rpg
Ryno - 17ppg 6rpg
Asik - 10ppg 11.5rpg
Gordon - 15ppg 4apg 3rpg
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Predict what you think our core 6 stats will be:
AD - 22ppg 11rpg 3bpg
Jrue - 16ppg 9apg 4rpg
Tyreke - 18ppg 5apg 5rpg
Ryno - 17ppg 6rpg
Asik - 10ppg 11.5rpg
Gordon - 15ppg 4apg 3rpg
Last edited by HornetGuru; 07-22-2014 at 07:29 PM.
But seriously,
Jrue - 16pts 8.5asts 4rbs
Gordon - 15pts 3asts 3rbs
Tyreke - 16pts 5asts 5rbs
Ryno - 17pts 6rbs
AD - 24pts 11rbs 3asts 3blks 3stls
Asik - 9pts 11rbs
98 ppg from six players? Shouldn't be too much harder to get to 110 ppg!
Are these stats per36 or will minutes vary between players?
AD: 23ppg 11.5rpg 3.3bpg
Asik: 9ppg 10rpg 1.8bpg
Reke: 15ppg 4.5apg 5rpg
Gordon 17ppg 2.5apg 2rpg
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Jrue:16ppg 10.5apg 1.8spg 4.5rpg
Anderson: 16ppg 4.5rpg
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Jrue: 15 pts, 4 rbs, 9 asts
Gordon: 15 pts, 3 rbs, 3 asts
Tyreke: 19 pts, 5 rbs, 5 asts
Anderson: 17 pts, 7 rbs
Davis: 23 pts, 12 rbs, 3 blks
Asik: 8 pts, 11 rbs, 1 blk
Rivers, Smith, Jimmer, Young, Ajinca, Whithey, Miller will be a very weak part of our second unit. Little experience, multiple unproven players, other benches would manhandle this bench from what we know so far.
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You realize that's 98 points per game just for those 6 players? No way that happens, we would almost never lose lol.
Asik isn't going to average a double double here, he can but he wont because he doesn't need to. I see him getting around 7 ppg with 11-12rpb.
I think Holiday's points will be about the same as their were last year if not less (14) but his overall efficiency and assists increase.
Ryno averaged 20ppg through 22 games last year but that was with his highest mins played per game ever at 36. He isn't getting those mins this year. I think around 15 per game from him.
Gordon and Evans are complete wild cards for me. Gordon because I just don't know what we are going to get just look at his trend it's always downwards, Evans I think will only put up numbers like that if he starts.
Honestly, the only player who's stats I care about are AD. If AD puts up numbers like you predict guru, and as long as we are winning, I could care less what everyone else does. Can't wait for the season to start!
Using McNamara's minute prediction, our top six guys (Jrue, Gordon, Reke, Anderson, Davis, Asik) will account for 84% of the teams minutes. 202 out of a possible 240 to be exact. So that leaves 38 minutes remaining for Rivers, Salmons, and maybe someone like Ajinca or Babbitt.
So realistically if you have 38 minutes for Rivers and Salmons, and they each get split nearly evenly (19/19, 20/18, etc) how many points will they each score a game? 13? 12? 10? That high number equals 111 points, which is high but you have to take into consideration that everyone will miss time so the team won't actually average 111 points, but the players ppg could. If that makes sense.
AD- 22/3/9 4 blocks with Asik I think he'likes get less rebounds and will thrive as a help defender
Jrue 16/8/4
Gordon 16/3/3
Tyreke 17/6/5
Asik 9/12
Ryan 16/
Austin 11/3
1-6
I also looked at how a player played during that 12-14 game stretch where we were mostly healthy. I mean if you count 14 games of good health, they scored 100+ in 11 of them. 105+ in 8 of them. 110+ in 5 of them. As long as this team is healthy we will score A LOT.
I agree we will score a lot, but 100 points from 6 players? Not so sure. If we could somehow divide those points up into shots, I don't think there's enough to go around.
Then add in the bench, Rivers will average no less than 7, Salmons around 5 or 6. You can figure Ajinca or Babbit will get around 5-6 per game, whatever Jimmer brings to the table.
Our top 5 averaged 85 a game last season, or 17 per player. I predicted 89 per game for that same group, or 18 per player.
I don't think that's outside the realm of possibility. Anderson won't see as many minutes so his 19-20 ppg will decrease, but I don't see someone like Reke not making up for that decrease. Reke averaged 14.5 or 15 a game last season, if Anderson drops 2-3 points I think Reke will jump to atleast 16.5 next season. When the team was healthy last year he averaged 18 off the bench.
Last Years Stats:
Name pts, rb, assists, steals, blocks
AD 21, 10, 1.6 , 1.3 , 2.82
Ryno 20, 6.5,1,.5,.3
EG 15, 3,3,1,.2
Reke 15, 5, 5, 1.2, .3
Jrue 14, 4, 8, 1.65, .35
This year's stats
AD 24, 11, 2.4 , 1.5 , 3+
Ryno 18, 6,1,.5,.3
EG 16, 3,3,1,.2
Reke 16, 5, 5, 1.2, .3
Jrue 14, 5, 11, 1.65, .35
Asik 10, 1, 10, 1, 2
The Only way to get ahead is to get started.....What you waiting for!
Anybody care to predict efficiency as opposed to raw stats?
Mike James looked like an All-Star one year according to raw stats. MCW looked like the second coming of Oscar Robertson if you only looked at raw stats.
No offense, but this is what we all did when we were eight. We are wiser now. We know what really matters and effects wins and losses. Anybody want to take a stab at efficiency numbers of individuals, four factors predictions and ratings of the team, etc.?
@mcnamara247
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