Never listen to what Bob Breck has to say. Remember the flack he caught about Katrina? He sucks farealOriginally Posted by Terrace Fan
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Never listen to what Bob Breck has to say. Remember the flack he caught about Katrina? He sucks fareal
Is it just me or does this new track look more to the west, headed towards Lake Charles?
It looks like it's hooking more towards Texas, if it would hold it's current western course. Just over the past 6 or so hours Gustav has been moving west.
Here is a better link to the site I posted earlier...it provides access to everything they have from the menu.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
I think it is too early to say where its going, but the direct hit on Cancun doesn't seem likely...though it will come close.
Early this morning and everything looks just as ominous as yesterday.
The GFDL forecast is extremely depressing, putting Gus with 190 mph winds in the gulf and making landfall extremely close to NOLA with 160 mph winds.
The model forecast this morning:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...l.html#a_topad
Carl Arredondo is going to have a live weather chat from 1-2 PM today. I strongly suggest that all those interested in Gustav try to get some info from Carl. The models are alomost all in agreement. It doesn't look good today.
With Gustav not making much progress right now and lingering aroung Haiti longer than expected, no one can rely too much on a 5-7 day forecast and forget the strength predictions since those are nowhere near reliable that far out.
About the only thing we know right now is that there will likely be a hurricane in the Gulf within a week, exactly where and how strong, who knows? But anytime there is a storm in the Gulf, we have to be ready.
The 11am EDT track has shifted eastward, Gustav still lingering near Haiti
looks like its going to move pretty quick once it hits the Gulf. Be Ready!
Contributor
I am the meteorologist in my house.Ever since Bob Breck told the entire city that Georges was coming right at us and if it missed,it would miss to Texas,he hasnt been trusted around my house.
I have basically told everyone in my house to start getting anything that they would take with them together in one central location that way if we have to leave it isnt the clusterfrick that it normally is.
If this stays cat 3 or lower and hits the city to the EAST i am staying to take care of the house.If it ventures into strong cat 4 or decides to come in WEST of the city,Im getting the hell out of dodge.
Agreed. Keep an eye on it, but i wouldn't commit to any evacuation plan at this time.. It could go to Houston, or Pensacola, or places in between.. We'll know a lot more come Friday morning.
Contributor
Make your hotel reservations north of the city now if you don't have friends or family somewhere in the region to take you in.
Time for some football!!!
Usually, I would say to wait to evacuate, but this storm looks like it's going to hit around Labor Day. Just check Hotels.com and you'll see that pretty much every reasonable hotel within about a 9-hour drive is booked solid. You need to take action NOW. You can cancel your reservations later. You need to start now.
Memphis still has some rooms but you better act now!
Latest Computer Model forecast:http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...807_model.html
Contributor
That is the same model as the 10AM with the BAMM and the NAMM added.Either that or the models didnt change AT ALL.
Contributor
Wow---the models are really starting to trend East big time. They may have this thing headed into Florida in the next day or so...be interested to see the 4:00PM NHC forecast and if they follow the model trends somewhat--they already have a little.
Thought I would also drop this...it is a link to StormTrack.org. A lot of very highly respected meteorologists, students, chasers, and other professionals on this site. The thread is the one dedicated to Gustav. Kind of a different look on the situation and some good discussion on the various models and forecast thoughts.
http://www.stormtrack.org/forum/showthread.php?t=17760
Did I hear right, Are there 2 more storms forming in the Atlantic?
Yea we've already got 2 rooms booked in Jackson... sheesh.
Contributor
Invest 95L has been hanging around the last few days and there is a wave a few hundred miles off of Africa right now.Watch them,but defiantly be more concerned with Gustav for now.
Contributor
Still just hanging out between Haiti, Cuba and Jamaica. Big piece of energy just to the west of the storm. Wonder if it'll incorporate that energy?
Rumor has it, Pensacola and Mobile residents are booking hotel room here!(N.O.)?
Contributor
Good back up plan, but that's all it is worth right now. The good news is that there are a lot of rooms in New Orleans. The most in the region, by far.
Needs to be watched close. We've made our evacuation plans in case it comes this way. It's a compact storm, and if it remains that way, Lafayette is out of harm's way on a direct NOLA hit, so that's where we are headed. If it heads more that way, but we feel the need to get out, we'll go east to Pensacola. We have family in both locations.
A football game can't stop hurricanes.
It can't fix levees.
Or rebuild houses.
But it can let a city know...
That it's a city once again.
Welcome back, New Orleans.
I just checked the sats and Gustav is having a rough go of it right now. Looking bad - battered by some shear and dry air. It's going to take some time to reorganize.
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